320. Cм.: The Signs of the Times Vol. V, No. 16 (June 23, 1843): 123 (courtesy of Adventist Digital Library).
321. См.: Knight, 159–165, quote 163.
322. См.: The Midnight Cry! Vol. 7, No. 17 (October 19): 132 (courtesy of Adventist Digital Library).
323. См.: Joseph Bates, The Biography of Elder Joseph Bates (Battle Creek, MI: The Steam Press, 1868), p. 298.
324. Там же., p. 167–205. О встрече в Эксетере: The Advent Herald Vol. 8, No. 3 (August 21, 1844): 20; об эсхатологии Сноу: S. S. Snow, The True Midnight Cry Vol. 1, No. 1 (August 22, 1844): 3^1 (courtesy of Adventist Digital Library).
325. См.: William Miller, letter to Joshua Himes, The Midnight Cry! Vol. 7, No. 16 (October 12): 121 (courtesy of Adventist Digital Library). О том, как дату 22 октября 1844 года принимало руководство адвентистов: David L. Rowe, God’s Strange Work, p. 186–190.
326. См.: Josiah Litch, letter to Nathaniel Southard, The Midnight Cry! Vol. 7, No. 16 (October 12): 125 (courtesy of Adventist Digital Library).
327. См.: William Nicholas, The Midnight Cry! Vol. 7, No. 17 (October 19): p. 133 (courtesy of Adventist Digital Library).
328. См.: Froom, IV: p. 686.
329. См.: Knight, p. 204–210.
330. Cм.: Dick, William Miller and the Advent Crisis 1831–1844, p. 149–152.
331. См.: J. Thomas Scharf and Thompson Westcott, History of Philadelphia (Philadelphia: L. H. Everts & Co., 1884), 11:1448.
332. См.: Rowe, Thunder and Trumpets, p. 137.
333. Там же, p. 138.
334. См.: Clara Endicott Sears, Days of Delusion (Boston: Houghton Mifflin Company, 1924), p. 181, 190–191, 195, 203.
335. См.: Francis D. Nichol, The Midnight Cry! (Takoma Park, Washington, DC: Review and Herald Publishing Association), 337–426; и Ruth Alden Doan, The Miller Heresy, Millerism, and American Culture (Philadelphia: Temple University Press, 1987), p. 60–61, 158–174; также Dick, William Miller and the Advent Crisis 1831–1844, p. 123–130. Самое содержательное и яркое описание практик миллеритов, в том числе «балахонов вознесения»: Cross, p. 305–306.
336. См.: The Signs of the Times Vol. VI, No. 17 (December 13, 1843): p. 144 (courtesy of Adventist Digital Library); и Dick, William Miller and the Advent Crisis 1831–1844, p, 121.
337. См.: Knight, p. 218–219.
338. См.: Louis Boutelle, Sketch of the Life and Religious Experience of Eld. Louis Boutelle (Boston: Advent Christian Publication Society, 1891), p. 67–68.
339. См.: William Lloyd Garrison, The Letters of William Lloyd Garrison, Walter M. Merrill, Ed. (Cambridge: Belknap Press of Harvard University Press, 1973), 111:137; и Ira V. Brown, “The Millerites and the Boston Press,” The New England Quarterly Vol. 16, No. 4 (December 1943): p. 599.
340. Cм.: Dick, William Miller and the Advent Crisis 1831–1844, p. 161.
341. См.: Rowe, Thunder and Trumpets, p. 141–147.
342. См.: Knight, p. 219–241.
343. См.: Jonathan M. Butler and Ronald L. Numbers, Introduction, in Ronald L. Numbers and Jonathan M. Butler, Eds., The Disappointed (Bloomington and Indianapolis: Indiana University Press, 1987), xv; и Doan, p. 203–204.
344. О мнении Фестингера по поводу миллеритов: Festinger et al., When Prophecy Fails, p. 11–23.
345. См.: Ernest Sandeen, The Roots of Fundamentalism (Grand Rapids, MI: Baker Book House, 1970), p. 54–55.
346. См.: Bagehot, p. 158.
347. См.: Martin Gilbert, Winston S. Churchill (Boston: Houghton Mifflin Company, 1977), V: p. 333–351, quote 350.
348. См.: Liaquat Ahamed, Lords of Finance (New York: Penguin, 2009), p. 231.
349. См.: H. Clark Johnson, Gold, France, and the Great Depression, 1919–1932 (New Haven, CT: Yale University Press, 1997), p. 141; также см. Federal Reserve Bulletin, April 1926, p. 270–271.
350. Cм.: Benjamin M. Blau et al., “Gambling Preferences, Options Markets, and Volatility,” Journal of Quantitative and Financial Analysis Vol. 51, No. 2 (April 2016): p. 515–540.
351. См.: Hyman Minksy, “The financial-instability hypothesis: capitalist processes and the behavior of the economy,” in Charles P. Kindleberger and Jean-Pierre Laffargue, Eds., Financial crises (Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 1982), p. 13–39.
352. См.: William J. Bernstein, The Birth of Plenty, p. 101–106.
353. Чрезвычайно яркое описание схемы: Frederick Lewis Allen, The Lords of Creation (Chicago: Quadrangle Paperbacks, 1966), p. 305–306.
354. См.: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org/theme/?_escaped_fragment_=32#! 32, дата обращения 30.03.2016.
355. См.: Minsky, p. 13–39.
356. См.: Floris Heukelom, “Measurement and Decision Making at the University of Michigan in the 1950s and 1960s,” Nijmegen Center for Economics, Institute for Management Research, Radboud University, Nijmegen, 2009, http://www.ru.nF publish/pages/516298/nice_09102.pdf, дата обращения 18.07.2016.
357. См.: Malcolm Gladwell, David and Goliath (New York: Little, Brown and Company, 2013), p. 103.
358. См.: Daniel Kahneman, Thinking, Fast and Slow (New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2013), p. 4–7.
359. См.: Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman, “Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases,” Science Vol. 185, No. 4157 (September 27, 1974), p. 1124.
360. Там же, 1130.
361. Чаще всего ссылаются на статью Канемана и Тверски «Суждение при неопределенности». Также см. работы этих авторов: “Availability: A Heuristic for Judging Frequency and Probability,” Cognitive Psychology Vol. 5 (1973): p. 207–232; “Belief in the Law of Small Numbers,” Psychological Bulletin Vol. 76, No. 2 (1971): p. 105–110; “Subjective Probability: A Judgment of Representativeness,” Cognitive Psychology Vol. 3 (1972): p. 430–454; “On the Psychology of Prediction,” Psychological Review Vol. 80, No. 4 (July 1973): p. 237–251; “On the study of statistical intuitions,” Cognition Vol. 11 (1982): p. 123–141; and “Intuitive Prediction: Biases and Corrective Procedures,” Advances in Decision Technology, Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, 1977.
362. О жертвах применения огнестрельного оружия см.: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/injury.htm; о жертвах аварий: https://www.cdc.gov/vitalsigns/motor-vehicle-safety/; о наркотиках: https://www.cdc.gov/drugoverdose/.
363. С 2005 по 2019 год террористы убили 250 израильтян, то есть приблизительно пятнадцать человек в год, а только в 2018 году в дорожных авариях погибло 315 человек (см.: https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/comprehensive-listing-of-terrorism-victims-in-israel и https://www.timesofisrael.com/cautious-optimism-as-annual-road-deaths-drop-for – the-first-time-in‐5-years/).
364. В 1925 году в США насчитывалось 20 000 000 автомобилей при населении в 116 миллионов человек; см.: http://www.allcountries.org/uscensus/1027_motor_ vehicle_registrations.html, дата обращения 18.07.2016.
365. См.: Allen, The Lords of Creation, p. 235–236.
366. См.: John Kenneth Galbraith, A Short History of Financial Euphoria (Knoxville, TN: Whittle Direct Books, 1990), p. 16.
367. См.: Galbraith, The Great Crash 1929 (Boston: Houghton Mifflin Company, 1988), p. 22.
368. См.: K. Geert Rouwenhorst, “The Origins of Mutual Funds,” in The Origins of Value, William N. Goetzmann and K. Geert Rouwenhorst, Eds. (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2005), p. 249.
369. См.: Galbraith, The Great Crash 1929, p. 47.
370. Извлечение из: Galbraith, The Great Crash 1929, 60–63; и J. Bradford De Long and Andrei Schleifer, “The Stock Market Bubble of 1929: Evidence from Closed-end Mutual Funds,” The Journal of Economic History Vol. 51, No. 3 (September 1991): p. 678.
371. См.: Galbraith, The Great Crash 1929, p. 58–62; и Barrie Wigmore, The Crash and Its Aftermath (Westport, CT: Greenwood Press, 1985), p. 40, 45, 248–250.
372. Из базы данных Роберта Шиллера; см.: http://www.econ.yale.edu/~shiller/data/ ie_data.xls, дата обращения 17.07.2016.
373. Там же.
374. См.: Neal, The Rise of Financial Capitalism, p. 232–257. Даже эти цифры, возможно, преувеличивают рост цен, ведь 1709 год видел приближение конца опустошительной Войны за испанское наследство и потом знаменовал собой нижнюю точку отсчета.
375. См.: “Radio Declares Dividend,” Ellensburg Daily Record, November 5, 1937.
376. «Каноном» здесь выступает формулировка Дж. Уильямса: John Burr Williams, The Theory of Investment Value (Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 1938). Также см. Irving Fisher, The Theory of Interest (New York: The Macmillan Company, 1930); и Benjamin Graham and David Dodd, Security Analysis (New York: Whittlesey House, 1934).
377. См.: Graham and Dodd, p. 310.
378. См.: Frederick Lewis Allen, Only Yesterday (New York: Perennial Classics, 2000), p. 265. Увы, мне не удалось отыскать первоисточник.
379. См.: Bernstein, The Birth of Plenty, p. 127–128.
380. Cм.: The Bend [OR] Bulletin, July 16, 1938, p. 1, 5.
381. См.: Allen, The Lords of Creation, p. 267–269.
382. Цит. по: in Allen, The Lords of Creation, p. 281–282.
383. Там же, p. 266–286.
384. См.: Virginia State Corporation Commission, “Staff Investigation on the Restructuring of the Electric Industry,” https://www.scc.virginia.gov/comm/reports/restrct3.pdf, дата обращения 17.04.2019.
385. См.: Allen, The Lords of Creation, p. 279
386. Там же.
387. См.: Adolph A. Berle, Jr., and Gardiner C. Means, The Modern Corporation and Private Property (New York: The Macmillan Company, 1948), p. 205nl8.
388. См.: Allen, The Lords of Creation, p. 281.
389. Там же, p. 286.
390. Cм.: Arthur R. Taylor, “Losses to the Public in the Insull Collapse: 1932–1946,” The Business History Review Vol. 36, No. 2 (Summer 1962): p. 188.
391. См.: “Former Ruler of Utilities Dies in France,” Berkeley Daily Gazette, July 16, 1938.